Was Darth Sidious a genius or was he just lucky to pull of his sceme?

I believe Darth Sidious aka Chancellor Palpatine was indeed a genius, he got himself elected as supreme chancellor of the republic, he almost wiped out the jedi and he became the galaxy's First Galactic Emperor and all of that in just 13 years. But the planning took far longer. And in the end he screwed up.

It al started with him manipulating the Viceroy of the Trade Federation and building up the Droid Army. Then when the time was finally right he ordered the blockade of the defenseless and innocent planet of Naboo. When he learned that the Jedi had gotten involved sooner than he wanted, he ordered Nute Gunray to accelerate their plan(his plan). The invasion started and soon Naboo was under their complete control.
This is when his minions made the first mistake, they allowed the Queen of Naboo and the jedi to escape, or did they. Palpatine would never have been Chancellor if queen Amidala didn't propose a vote of no confidence in chancellor Valorum. So this means Sidious planed for her to escape, but this would mean that he knew the jedi were coming disguised as ambassadors. So in this phase there were no mistakes.
The invasion of Naboo was just a test. It was meant to test the Droid Army.
The test failed.

So now Sidious had to modernize his droid army he did this by building better battle droids that could take on the Jedi and win.
Meanwhile Darth Tyranus aka Count Dooku went to the Moons of Bogden to recruit Jango Fett. Before or directly after he did this he went to Kamino. There, posing as Jedi Master Sifo-Dyas, he ordered the creation of a Clone Army for the republic.
Ten years after the fiasco at Naboo the two Sith Lords had formed the separatist alliance and thousands of star systems left the republic and joined the separatists.

At this time the jedi were overwhelmed and Sidious knew it. This is why the jedi did not appose to the idea to grant the Chancellor emergency powers in order to create a Grand Army Of The Republic to counter the increasing threats of the separatists.
Now it was only a matter of time before the war began. And it would not have mattered who won. The separatist army's and the republics were under the direct command of the same man, but nobody knew that.
We all saw what happened when the republic won so I am going to skip that part.
The separatists would have won the war if the republics clone army had been wiped out and the jedi were extinct. If this had happened Darth Sidious would have ruled the galaxy and Palpatine would have been forgotten(assumed dead).
If the separatists had won it would have happened during the battle over Coruscant, the republics fleet would have been destroyed and the planet would have been occupied, the clone army would have been without leadership and Darth Sidious would have put on the mask of Palpatine for one last time, he would have ordered the clones to kill the surviving jedi generals and when that was done he would have ordered the clones to surrender.

The only real failure was that Sidious was unable to wipe out the jedi. The survival of only two jedi and the offspring of Anakin. Made the defeat of the empire possible.

I would like to know what you think of this theory so please comment.

MTFBWY


Note: thanks for the warm welcome the other day and enjoy reading my blogs.